Construction output down because of labour shortages and uncertainty

  • 14 Nov 2016

howardchapmanHoward Chapman, Buildingtalk Editor, challenges the pessimistic headlines after the latest ONS statistics indicate the weakest construction output for four years.

UK construction output at weakest for four years

markit-data-novemberThe latest ONS statistics on construction output have had the post-Brexit vote doom-mongers wringing their hands with headlines like ‘UK construction at weakest level for four years’. However, Buildingtalk warns against interpreting too much from any short term statistics and to take closer look at the detail.

For example, though the year on year quarterly comparison showed output in the construction industry fell overall by 1.1%, we see that there was a fall of 3.4% in repair and maintenance work but an encouraging 2% increase in all new work. The Markit/CIPS PMI survey has also shown construction industry output rising in both September and October, with the rate of growth accelerating to the highest since March.

Brexit impact

ONS statistician Kate Davies, commenting on Brexit, said that construction output has remained broadly flat in the last year, both before and after the recent referendum.

Labour shortages

Many contractors were unable to bid for work during Q3 2016 due to labour shortages, according to the latest Build UK State of Trade survey from Glenigan. We still need to import skilled labour to meet demand and continue growth. No doubt the Treasury will be making this point to those considering changes to immigration rules.

It’s interesting that in Northern Ireland, where labour shortages are less acute, the construction industry has hit a seven-month high with new PMI figures indicating new orders and employment all increased at faster rates in October.

Housing and infrastructure Budget boost

In the autumn statement later this month, UK chancellor, Philip Hammond will be setting out measures to increase housing supply and announce new spending on infrastructure as he rows away from George Osborne’s obsession with austerity.

We will also get some sight of additional measures to encourage more economic activity as we begin to negotiate the changes in relation to the EU .

A number of surveys indicate that the construction industry is beginning to revive after being hit hard by the economic and political uncertainty around the time of the Brexit vote.

The upturn will come as the government builds confidence about the opportunities for the construction industry to lead the post Brexit UK economic revival.

Link to ONS staistics on ‘Construction output in Great Britain: Sept 2016 and July to Sept 2016’

One comment on “Construction output down because of labour shortages and uncertainty

Leave a Reply

Latest news

DensDeck
Mitsubshi Electric

Family Day Workshop by Mitsubishi Electric

If you are an architecture or environmental enthusiast, bring your children along to a family day of fun and educational activities at the Building Centre on Saturday 22nd June – Mitsubishi Electric will deliver its award-winning programme, The Learning Curve (with a few twists), designed to teach children about energy use and energy efficiency.

Posted in Articles, Building Industry Events, Building Industry News, Building Products & Structures, Building Services, Facility Management & Building Services, Heating Systems, Controls and Management, Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning - HVAC, Pipes & Fittings, Plumbing, Retrofit & Renovation, Sustainability & Energy Efficiency

Keller

Keller Kitchens excels in Kiwa assessment

Keller Kitchens has been reassessed by Kiwa, a European institute that is involved in the certification of processes, products, employees and organisations. Once again, the company passed with flying colours!

Posted in Articles, Building Associations & Institutes, Building Industry News, Building Products & Structures, Building Regulations & Accreditations, Building Services, Interior Design & Construction, Interiors, Kitchens, Research & Materials Testing, Restoration & Refurbishment, Retrofit & Renovation, Sustainability & Energy Efficiency

National Ventilation

National Ventilation’s Operations Director Completes D-Day 44 Challenge

Alan Parkinson, Operations Director at National Ventilation, has completed the D-Day 44 Challenge in aid of Combat Stress, the UK’s leading charity for veterans’ mental health.

Posted in Air Conditioning, Articles, Building Industry Events, Building Industry News, Building Products & Structures, Building Services, Charity work, Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning - HVAC